Here is a statistical look at UNC's match-up with Boston College.
|North Carolina||Boston College|
|Points per game||75.6||70.1|
|Points per possession||1.05||1.07|
|Field Goal %||45.2%||44.7%|
|Offensive Reb Rate||38.1%||27.9%|
|Defensive Reb Rate||68.6%||65.2%|
|KenPom win probability||UNC 89%|
How is this for a match-up? The worst offensive efficiency in the ACC(UNC) vs the worst defensive efficiency in the ACC(Boston College.) After three ACC games were UNC has progressively gotten worse on the offensive end, UNC get a chance to right the ship or at the very least stop it from listing so darn much. For the season Boston College is 297th in defensive efficiency, 254th in defensive eFG% and 298th in three point percentage defense.
UNC on the other hand has been in a free fall in the offensive rankings with has been accelerated by posting an offensive efficiency of 90 or worse in three straight games. If the Tar Heels cannot, after a week off and facing a defense as bad as Boston College's score some points, this team might be in bigger trouble than everyone thinks which would be saying something.
Also of note is Boston College plays slow. The Eagles are 312th in tempo but a little turnover prone with a TO rate of 19.0 which could assist UNC in getting the break up and running. The Eagles don't rebound well on either end of the floor. Then again rebounding hasn't been a huge issue for UNC in ACC play despite being behind on the boards a tad against Syracuse. What UNC does with said rebounds has been the issue, especially on the offensive end where 2nd chance points have not been keeping pace with the offensive rebounds.
The Eagles are capable on offense, especially since ACC play started. Boston College is shooting 40.5% as a team from three, is 2nd in free throw rate and eFG%. This will be a challenge for a Tar Heel defense that continues to look decent on paper but still prone to giving up drives to the basket. That will be something to watch given Eagle point guard Olivier Hanlan's skill set.