UNC's ACC quarterfinal versus Pitt, by the numbers.
|Points per game||76.4||73.0|
|Points per possession(raw)||1.09||1.14|
|Adj. Offensive Efficiency(Rank)||111.4(54th)||116.0(16th)|
|Adj. Defensive Efficiency(Rank)||94.6(21st)||97.3(48th)|
|Field Goal %||46.5%||46.2%|
|Offensive Reb Rate||38.2%||38.2%|
|Defensive Reb Rate||68.7%||70.2%|
|KenPom win probability||Pitt 53%|
This is UNC's second meeting of the season against Pitt. The Tar Heels won the first game in Chapel Hill 75-71. UNC had a twelve point lead in the second half before Pitt rallied. The Heels got a huge game from James Michael McAdoo who went for 24 points and 12 rebounds. Marcus Paige scored 18 points and shot 5-6 from three.
The other story of the first game was UNC's defense. The Heels kept Panther guard Lamar Patterson in check. Patterson was 5-15 from the floor and 3-9 from three for 16 points. Pitt big man Talib Zanna went 2-11 but did grab eight rebounds as both teams grabbed 40 boards.
On paper, Pitt boasts a better offense and UNC has the better defense. UNC's defense won the day in Chapel Hill but will that be the case in the second game? Pitt played extremely well on the offensive end against Wake Forest but the Demon Deacons' clear fatigue could have been a factor there. UNC will be well-rested and assuming the Heels can tap into that "sense of urgency" then it could be a repeat performance.
The key stat is the offensive rebounding rate. Not many teams can rebound at the rate UNC does on the offensive end but the Panthers can. On the defensive end, Pitt and UNC both held opposing teams to 31.0% on the offensive boards. This game would very well hinge on which team wins this strength-on-strength battle.