The preview for the Maryland game is coming but this was too good to not post about.
SI.com's Luke Winn does a breakdown of turnovers committed by arguably the four top point guards in the country. Here is what Kendall Marshall's looked like.
Case I: Kendall Marshall, Home Run King
* Charting sample: 69 turnovers
* Turnover distribution: 79.7% bad passes, 13.0% ballhanding, 7.3% offensive fouls
What the charting data reveals:
1. The country's assist leader remains addicted to the risky pass. He's aware of his condition -- in the preseason, he said, "As many good passes as I've made, I have to settle down and not get overzealous about it, because I've thrown some away" -- and yet an amazing 79.7 percent of his turnovers (55 in all) have come on bad passes. (Tyshawn Taylor had the second-highest portion of TOs on bad passes, at 53.2 percent, with 50 total.)
2. Tyler Zeller is Marshall's favorite risky target. While 29.3 percent of Marshall's assists go to Zeller, a team-high 40.0 percent of his bad passes have been intended for the senior big man. Eleven turnovers occurred on post/wing entries to Zeller, eight were overthrows on fast breaks, two were off of pick-and-rolls and one was an isolation dish-off.
3. In all other situations, Marshall is exceptional at protecting the ball. Only one of his 55 bad passes came on a drive where he left his feet and ran out of options. He's only had the ball stolen from him seven times, which equates to 0.4 percent of his total possessions played. And he has yet to commit a single traveling or carrying violation, which is somewhat stunning.
4. The question remains: Could Marshall be more conservative and still be as successful, or is he like a slugger who can't put up high home-run totals without also striking out frequently? According to Synergy, Marshall's PPP+A rate (points per possessions used plus assisted plays) of 1.56 still blows the four other guards away: Jordan Taylor's is 1.28, Tyshawn Taylor's is 1.26 and Marquis Teague's is 1.23. If Marshall were to take 2-3 fewer risks per game, could Carolina's offense (which currently ranks 12th in efficiency) get better, or would it not be able to remain as fast and dynamic as it currently is?
It is not surprise that most of Marshall's turnovers come from bad passes. When any good artist paints a masterpiece it is given he is going to spill some paint. That is what's happening here. An amazing assist is that because it involved some ridiculously small gap, seeing something no one else sees or betting the defender doesn't turn his head at the wrong time. In other words, the high risk leads to high reward in the aesthetics department but also occasionally produces turnovers. It should be noted Marshall's offensive fouls are from pushing off with his right hand rather than charges since he rarely puts himself in the air absent control. Winn points out that only once had Marshall turned the ball over after leaving his feet which says he knows what he is going to do well before he actually does it.
No carries or travels? Stunning indeed unless you are part of the ABC black helicopter crowd then it is all a conspiracy.