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Tale of the Tape: UNC-Northern Kentucky

Grant Halverson

Here is how the Tar Heels match up statistically vs Davidson.

North Carolina Northern Kentucky
Conference ACC Atlantic Sun
Record 8-3 4-7
KenPom Rank 19th 304th
Points per game 80.2 68.6
Points per possession 1.08 1.05
Offensive Efficiency(Rank) 112.7(32nd) 101.6(211th)
Defensive Efficiency(Rank) 94.0(19th) 114.3(342nd)
Tempo(Rank) 71.9(31st) 63.4(338th)
Offensive eFG% 49.7% 50.6%
Defensive eFG% 45.2% 54.4%
Field Goal % 46.9% 43.8%
3P FG% 33.6% 34.8%
Offensive Reb Rate 36.6% 30.3%
Defensive Reb Rate 68.1% 65.1%
TO Rate 16.5% 18.7%
FT Rate 54.9% 40.0%
KenPom win probability UNC 98%

Stats sources: KenPom and Statsheet

Based on the numbers this is a clash of styles. UNC is 31st in tempo and averaging over 80 ppg, Northern Kentucky is 338th in tempo and putting up 68 ppg. The Norse have played just two games this season that reached 70 possessions and one of those was an overtime affair. Compare that to UNC which has seen 70 or more possessions in every game but two of them.

One interesting aspect of this Northern Kentucky team is every player with at least 10% available minutes have attempted a three pointer. That skews the team three point shooting downward some and hides the fact there are two players shooting over 40% from three. 5-9 guard Todd Johnson is 17-38 from three for 44% and 6-6 forward Jack Flournoy is 48% from beyond the arc on 19-39 shooting. In addition to those two, guard Tyler White is shooting 35% from three hitting 17 out of 49 attempts so far. Speaking of Johnson, he is also 17-27 from two but a rather inexplicable 9-25 from the free throw line. For the record, Johnson and White combined for a 7-11 shooting night from three in Northern Kentucky's win over Navy on Saturday.

Leslie McDonald is 5-10 from three in two games with four of those makes coming against Texas. Marcus Paige continues to do the bulk of the heavy lifting from three hitting 27-68 for 39.7%. Also of note James Michael McAdoo has 104 free throw attempts of which he has hit 55%. He also has 110 field goal attempts and is shooting 43%. Just imagine if he was 10% better on free throws and 5% higher on overall field goals.