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Tale of the Tape: UNC vs William & Mary

Rob Kinnan-USA TODAY Sports

Heels vs The Tribe.

North Carolina William & Mary
Conference ACC CAA
Record 8-3 6-4
KenPom Rank 9th 132nd
Points per game 80.9 69.7
Adj. Off. Efficiency(Rank) 110.4(18th) 104.7(76th)
Ad. Def. Efficiency(Rank) 90.1(18th) 102.0(212th)
Tempo(Rank) 71.9(11th) 65.0(228th)
Offensive eFG% 49.2% 54.6%
Defensive eFG% 39.8% 46.7%
Field Goal % 45.6% 48.2%
3P FG% 29.3% 40.2%
FT% 69.5% 68.6%
Offensive Reb Rate 45.0% 25.2%
Defensive Reb Rate 65.2% 70.9%
TO Rate 19.2% 21.8%
FT Rate 41.0% 37.0%

Biscuit Watch?

Possibly. William & Mary plays at a much slower pace but there are two numbers here that suggest UNC might be able to get out and run. The Tribe turn the ball over 21.8% of the time and only collect 25.2% of their misses. If that occurs in this game UNC will have tons of opportunity to run off missed shots and turnovers. Of course the former of those relies on William and Mary missing shots which they do not tend to do at a high rate. The Tribe shoots over 48% from the floor and over 40% from three with an eFG% north of 54%. This level of shooting will certain test UNC's defense which is holding teams to 25% from three, second best nationally.

It should be noted UNC's TO% has been creeping in the wrong direction for a few games now. Heading into the Kentucky game it was 16.9 but not it has ballooned to 19.2. Getting that number back under control is critical. UNC's offense is good but not great so wasting possessions away on careless turnovers is far from ideal.

One other note. William and Mary is dead last in opposing team's free throw percentage with teams hitting 78.2% from the line in games against the Tribe. On one hand, there is nothing William & Mary can do about opposing teams at the line, the elevated number isn't a result of facing great free throw shooting teams. Rice's 74% is the best the Tribe has seen and only three opponents are over 70% on the season from the line. One possible explanation is William and Mary commits fouls against the wrong players such as fouling perimeter players more than interior players which can leads to higher percentages. At any rate, it will be worth watching to see if UNC "benefits" at the line from playing the Tribe.