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THB Tournament Second Round: #2 2008 vs #3 2007

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#2 2008 vs #3 2007

Starters and Bench

2008 Pos 2007
Ty Lawson
PG Ty Lawson
Wayne Ellington
SG Wayne Ellington
Marcus Ginyard
SF Reyshawn Terry
Deon Thompson
PF Brandan Wright
Tyler Hansbrough
C Tyler Hansbrough
Bench
Bobby Frasor
G Bobby Frasor
Quentin Thomas
G Marcus Ginyard
Danny Green
G Danny Green
Alex Stepheson
F Alex Stepheson

F Deon Thompson

G Quentin Thomas

G Wes Miller


Simple question. Was the 2008 team with a smaller roster, more mature players and Tyler Hansbrough playing at a NPOY level really that much better than 2007 which had Brandan Wright and Reyshawn Terry instead of Deon Thompson and Marcus Ginyard?

Yes. First the stats from KenPom.

2008 2007
Adj. Tempo 74.0 73.1
Adj. Offensive Efficiency 120.4 119.4
Offensive eFG% 53.0% 54.4%
Offensive 2P FG% 52.1% 54.6%
Offensive 3P FG% 37.2% 35.8%
FT% 75.7% 71.2%
Offensive Rebounding Rate 42.4% 39.7%
Adj. Defensive Efficiency 92.5 91.5
Defensive eFG% 48.2% 47.0%
Defensive 2P FG% 47.8% 45.3%
Defensive 3P FG% 32.6% 33.7%
Defensive Rebounding Rate 71.3% 70.4%

2008 comes out on top but the teams are very close.

In the end the one element you can't avoid here is the fact 2008 was a well-oiled machine. The core group had figured things out as a team, Wayne Ellington and Ty Lawson became the players everyone thought they would be and Hansbrough was the best player in the country. Most importantly the 2008 team knew how to win from several games the 2007 team lost such as at home to Virginia Tech, at NC State and yes versus Georgetown after being up 10 with six minutes left.

2008 had the intangibles the 2007 team was still figuring out which would probably be the difference.