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Heels vs Noles
| North Carolina | Florida State | |
| Record | 15-4 | 10-9 |
| ACC Record | 5-1 | 2-4 |
| KenPom Rank | 7th | 140th |
| Points per game | 79.4 | 68.7 |
| Adj. Off. Efficiency(Rank) | 114.3(17th) | 100.6(187th) |
| Ad. Def. Efficiency(Rank) | 90.8(19th) | 98.7(126th) |
| Tempo(Rank) | 70.1(18th) | 68.3(50th) |
| Offensive eFG% | 50.0% | 50.1% |
| Defensive eFG% | 42.2% | 47.4% |
| Field Goal % | 46.3% | 46.5% |
| 3P FG% | 32.0% | 26.7% |
| FT% | 69.8% | 66.0% |
| Offensive Reb Rate | 43.7% | 32.0% |
| Defensive Reb Rate | 68.4% | 69.3% |
| TO Rate | 18.4% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 37.9% | 48.2% |
FSU is the third opponent in as many games for UNC that is ranked outside the KenPom top 100 and the fourth in a series of imminently winnable games for the Tar Heels.
The Seminoles have struggled shooting threes hitting just 26.7% on the season. That number has improved to 31% in ACC play however the strength of FSU's offense is in on the interior. Given the Seminoles' size it isn't surprising FSU is shooting 53% from two however in ACC play that number has dropped to 47%.
One area where FSU's size doesn't nearly have the impact one would think is on the boards. FSU is a fair to middling rebounding team ranked 149th in ORB% at 32.0 while pulling down 69.3% on the defensive end. FSU's ORB% is slightly improved in ACC play while the DRB% has dropped off over 3%. UNC's rebounding on both ends has been very good in ACC play. Despite an overall DRB% of 69.8 in 19 games, UNC's six league games has the Tar Heels leading the ACC with a DRB% of 73.2 and an ORB% of 42.0 which is just below the season average.
Another number that could work in UNC's favors is FSU's 20.5% turnover rate. In ACC play that number has improved to 18.7% which is still just 14th among conference teams. The Seminoles don't force many turnovers either having turned ACC opponents over just 12.7% of their possessions and 18.3% for the season. UNC has struggled at times with turnovers so facing a team that doesn't force them will help to some extent but not when it comes to propensity for what Roy Williams has called "dumb plays."
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