Heels vs Noles
|North Carolina||Florida State|
|Points per game||79.4||68.7|
|Adj. Off. Efficiency(Rank)||114.3(17th)||100.6(187th)|
|Ad. Def. Efficiency(Rank)||90.8(19th)||98.7(126th)|
|Field Goal %||46.3%||46.5%|
|Offensive Reb Rate||43.7%||32.0%|
|Defensive Reb Rate||68.4%||69.3%|
FSU is the third opponent in as many games for UNC that is ranked outside the KenPom top 100 and the fourth in a series of imminently winnable games for the Tar Heels.
The Seminoles have struggled shooting threes hitting just 26.7% on the season. That number has improved to 31% in ACC play however the strength of FSU's offense is in on the interior. Given the Seminoles' size it isn't surprising FSU is shooting 53% from two however in ACC play that number has dropped to 47%.
One area where FSU's size doesn't nearly have the impact one would think is on the boards. FSU is a fair to middling rebounding team ranked 149th in ORB% at 32.0 while pulling down 69.3% on the defensive end. FSU's ORB% is slightly improved in ACC play while the DRB% has dropped off over 3%. UNC's rebounding on both ends has been very good in ACC play. Despite an overall DRB% of 69.8 in 19 games, UNC's six league games has the Tar Heels leading the ACC with a DRB% of 73.2 and an ORB% of 42.0 which is just below the season average.
Another number that could work in UNC's favors is FSU's 20.5% turnover rate. In ACC play that number has improved to 18.7% which is still just 14th among conference teams. The Seminoles don't force many turnovers either having turned ACC opponents over just 12.7% of their possessions and 18.3% for the season. UNC has struggled at times with turnovers so facing a team that doesn't force them will help to some extent but not when it comes to propensity for what Roy Williams has called "dumb plays."