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Tale of the Tape: UNC vs Louisville

Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

Cards vs Heels, Part II

North Carolina Louisville
Record 17-4 17-3
ACC Record 7-1 5-2
KenPom Rank 10th 14th
Points per game 80.0 73.4
Adj. Off. Efficiency(Rank) 114.9(17th) 109.1(47th)
Ad. Def. Efficiency(Rank) 92.2(28th) 88.8(6th)
Tempo(Rank) 69.7(20th) 67.2(75th)
Offensive eFG% 50.6% 49.6%
Defensive eFG% 43.0% 42.1%
Field Goal % 46.8% 44.3%
3P FG% 33.1% 30.7%
FT% 69.7% 66.6%
Offensive Reb Rate 43.0% 36.2%
Defensive Reb Rate 68.7% 68.7%
TO Rate 18.2% 18.1%
FT Rate 39.0% 41.0%

The numbers haven't changed too much since these two teams met three weeks ago. These two teams are also fairly even across the board. Based on rankings UNC is slightly better on the offensive end but defensively the Cardinals are ranked in the top ten while the Heels have slid into the 30s. All of that makes this a fairly even contest on paper.

In ACC play both UNC and Louisville have seen some improvement in their shooting in ACC play. UNC is presently second in ACC play in three point shooting at 38.8%. Marcus Paige is shooting 47% from three while Nate Britt is 7-15. On the Cardinals' end of the court, Louisville is hitting 33.1% from three in ACC play with the duo of Chris Jones and Terry Rozier hitting over 40% or better from beyond the arc.

The real statistical difference between the two teams is on the glass. UNC's ORB% of 43.0 is second nationally and the 40.5 in ACC play leads the league. On the defensive end, UNC is 3rd in ACC play with a 73.0 DRB%. Louisville hasn't been quite as efficienct in ACC play on the backboards with an ORB% of 30.7 and a DRB of 66.3. Controlling the boards could very well be the key to this game, especially if Louisville doesn't shoot well and UNC can keep the turnover rate down.