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Tale of the Tape: UNC vs Virginia

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Heels vs Cavaliers, ACC Semifinals

North Carolina Virginia
Record 23-10 29-2
ACC Record 11-7 16-2
KenPom Rank 14th 3rd
Points per game 78.0 65.0
Adj. Off. Efficiency(Rank) 114.4(13th) 112.5(24th)
Ad. Def. Efficiency(Rank) 94.0(31st) 84.8(1st)
Tempo(Rank) 69.7(15th) 57.9(349th)
Offensive eFG% 50.9% 51.3%
Defensive eFG% 44.8% 41.1%
Field Goal % 47.2% 46.4%
3P FG% 34.3% 36.3%
FT% 70.1% 72.0%
Offensive Reb Rate 40.1% 34.4%
Defensive Reb Rate 69.4% 75.8%
TO Rate 17.9% 16.0%
FT Rate 34.9% 34.1%

With Virginia it's all about the defense and how well UNC can execute offensively against a team that is producing some of the best defensive numbers, efficiency wise, the KenPom rankings have ever seen. Virginia has the ability to lock Marcus Paige down and disrupt the Tar Heels' ability to get the ball inside.

The question is how this game will differ from the February 2nd meeting in Chapel Hill won by the Cavaliers 74-64? The answer might lie in the fact UNC is healthier that it was then while Virginia is probably a little banged up. The Cavaliers have also struggled quite a bit offensively since then though some of that can be owed to missing Justin Anderson for an extended period. Anderson has returned putting the Cavaliers at full strength again.

UNC's best hope is to force transition as much as possible and get a solid defensive effort along the lines of what happened to day versus Louisville. That would keep the game close and give the Tar Heels a shot at advancing to the ACC title game.