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Tale of the Tape: UNC vs Harvard

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Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

NCAA Tournament First Round

North Carolina Harvard
Record 24-11 22-8
Conference ACC Ivy
Conference Record 11-7 11-3
Bid At-large Automatic
Seed #4 #13
KenPom Rank 16th 78th
Points per game 77.9 64.2
Adj. Off. Efficiency(Rank) 115.2(12th) 102.0(172nd)
Ad. Def. Efficiency(Rank) 95.1(44th) 94.6(35th)
Tempo(Rank) 70.0(10th) 61.5(317th)
Offensive eFG% 51.4% 47.3%
Defensive eFG% 45.3% 46.1%
Field Goal % 47.5% 43.5%
3P FG% 34.5% 35.3%
FT% 70.0% 71.3%
Offensive Reb Rate 39.9% 32.3%
Defensive Reb Rate 69.5% 72.2%
TO Rate 18.2% 18.7%
FT Rate 34.7% 39.0%
3PA% 22.6% 26.5%

I have added a stat to this. At the bottom I am including the 3PA% which indicates what percentage of a team's overall FGA comes from beyond the arc. In this case, Harvard is at 26.5% which is 326th. Only 22.2% of the Crimson's points come from three pointers. 55% of Harvard's points are from two point shots which is 55th. UNC gets 62.5% from twos and that is 2nd nationally. In respect to these numbers, Harvard doesn't look to take threes but given UNC's size it might opt to do it more.

As a team Harvard shoots 35% from three but have just two players who hits them consistently. Leading scorer Wesley Saunders is at 42% but has only taken 69 threes in 30 games. Corbin Miller has hit 35% of his threes on 159 attempts. Siyani Chambers is the only other Crimson player with significant attempts hitting 31% on 105 shots.

Harvard has posted some fairly solid rebounding numbers but the caveat there is Harvard doesn't face many teams with UNC's size. Harvard's best ORB% against a Power 5 team was 34.1 vs Boston College. Against Virginia, the Crimson grabbed just 22.9 of its misses and versus Arizona State it was 16.7. Harvard's 35.1 ORB% in Ivy play led the league. On the defensive end, Harvard held Boston College to an ORB% of 20.0. UVa went for 36.4 on offensive boards and Arizona State topped 45%. Only two teams exceeded UNC's average ORB% of 39.9 against the Crimson: Northeastern(also in the NCAA Tournament) and the aforementioned Sun Devils.

Ultimately this should be about UNC's talent gap and size. Marcus Paige said they would extend defense to try and speed the game up. If that happens it will be interesting to see if a price is paid should Harvard get past that pressure.