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Tale of the Tape: UNC vs Duke

Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports

Heels vs Blue Devils, Part 2

North Carolina Duke
Record 21-9 27-3
ACC Record 11-6 14-3
KenPom Rank 13th 8th
Points per game 78.2 81.2
Adj. Off. Efficiency(Rank) 114.4(13th) 122.1(2nd)
Ad. Def. Efficiency(Rank) 93.9(36th) 96.4(66th)
Tempo(Rank) 69.9(15th) 67.0(76th)
Offensive eFG% 50.9% 57.2%
Defensive eFG% 44.7% 47.2%
Field Goal % 47.7% 50.4%
3P FG% 33.2% 39.3%
FT% 68.9% 68.7%
Offensive Reb Rate 40.6% 37.4%
Defensive Reb Rate 69.3% 70.6%
TO Rate 17.9% 17.0%
FT Rate 35.8% 41.1%

After UNC's defense went on walkabout for several games, the numbers have continued to rebound. Playing Georgia Tech twice certainly helps but even then the Tar Heels held NC State, which is a solid offensive team, to an offensive rating below 100. Duke's 110.0(which is below average for the Blue Devils) was the last time an opponent has been over 100 in offensive efficiency versus UNC. That has allowed the Tar Heels overall defensive efficiency number to drop from over 96 to 93.9 which is more in line with the Williams era average Duke's defense, on the other hand, seems to run hot and cold. Over the past four game, Duke has held Clemson, Syracuse and Wake Forest in check at home but in the overtime road win at Virginia Tech, the Hokies lit Duke up for an offensive rating of 130.7 thanks to raining three pointers.

Speaking of three pointers, UNC remains on pace to finish with the lowest 3P% allowed of the Williams era. UNC opponents have shot 29.3% versus the Heels this season from three which presently beats last season's 31.7%. Also of note is opponents have attempted 37.0% of their total shots from three. That is the highest opponents 3PA% of the Williams era. In short, teams are shooting more from three versus UNC than in any previous season under Roy Williams while posting an era low shooting percentage versus UNC from behind the arc.

May that continue on Saturday night.