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Tale of the Tape: UNC-Miami

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Heels vs Canes

North Carolina Miami
Record 21-5 21-4
ACC Record 10-3 10-3
KenPom Rank #8 #12
Points per game 83.4 77.0
Adj. Off. Efficiency(Rank) 117.8(10th) 114.8(21st)
Ad. Def. Efficiency(Rank) 95.6(35th) 94.4(20th)
Tempo(Rank) 72.7(40th) 67.6(252nd)
Offensive eFG% 52.2% 53.7%
Defensive eFG% 48.1% 46.7%
Field Goal % 48.1% 44.3%
2P FG% 54.3% 53.7%
3P FG% 30.9% 35.8%
FT% 73.6% 75.9%
Offensive Reb Rate 38.1% 30.5%
Defensive Reb Rate 70.8% 71.4%
TO Rate 15.2% 15.9%
FT Rate 34.1% 40.2%
3PA% 26.3% 34.4%

UNC's "reward" for not getting it done versus Duke and shooting poorly from the perimeter is facing a team ranked 21st in defensive efficiency.  In ACC play, Miami is one of just four teams with a defensive efficiency under 100 and also fourth in two point and three point FG defense. The Hurricanes have forced a second best 19.7% turnover rate in conference play. In short UNC faces a very good defense though not one that necessarily rebounds well with Miami 10th in ACC play in defensive rebounding rate.

Offensively both teams are comparable with Miami shooting better from three at 35.8%. Sheldon McClendon is the player to watch for the Hurricanes hitting 40% from three on the season but just 35% in ACC play. Miami's leader in 3PA is Angel Rodriquez with 121 attempts on the season but just 30% shooting and 25% in  ACC play. Pretty sure we all know what that means.

UNC has a perimeter shooting problem that abated for three games then reappeared at the wrong time versus Duke. Facing a solid defensive team isn't going to do much to help that which means UNC will need to lean on offensive rebounding and forcing turnovers. Miami sports a solid TO% at 15.2. In last year's win at Miami, UNC forced the Hurricanes into a TO% of 21.3 which help mitigate an otherwise poor offensive performance for the Tar Heels.