North Carolina has won six consecutive games by double digits. With the latest coming against the Syracuse Orange on Saturday afternoon, eyes around the country are beginning to peel and take notice.
These victories have significant weight and will carry all the way to March, which has been an Achilles heel of recent Tar Heel teams. The AP Top 25 and metrics such as KenPom and NET praise North Carolina’s success as well.
Coming in at No. 7 in the AP Poll, No. 6 in KenPom, and No. 9 in the NET, the Tar Heels success is reflected in some of the most respected college basketball ranking systems, and they sit amongst the nation’s best.
I can confidently say those numbers will be even more impressive come Monday, as some will be updated from this weekends games.
We know what North Carolina is capable of on the court, but stacking these resume edges will be a huge deciding factor come seed line in mid-March.
The Tar Heels have five quadrant one (Q1) wins, tied for second most in the country behind the Purdue Boilermakers. This metric, which is a sub part of the NET, is repetitively relied on to make hard decisions within the selection committee. Keep in mind, the 2022-23 squad did not have a single Q1 win until February 25th.
All of North Carolina’s losses are Q1 as well, meaning that UNC has avoided the sometimes inevitable “bad loss” up to this point. They are unscathed in quadrants 2-4.
Another fun resume stat: the Tar Heels are 7-0 at home, 3-0 on the road, and 3-3 at neutral sites. The recent success on the road against ACC foes has spiked the legitimacy of UNC’s report card.
If the season ended today, North Carolina would be in legitimate position for a No. 1 seed. You just can’t be much better statistically than the Heels have, and it’s beginning to surface in places of serious importance.
What’s even more exciting? There are six remaining Q1 opportunities on the schedule, but with the way Hubert Davis has the guys playing, no matchup seems flustering or intimidating.
After years of dreading the numbers and metrics, they most certainly side with North Carolina as they are near the halfway point of the regular season. The resume is not only one of the most impressive in the country, but even in some of the Tar Heels most elite squads in the past, they haven’t produced what this team has thus far.
The ceiling is high in Chapel Hill.